Final tracked odds
As of October 28, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 4%.
▼ 4 since the previous update. ▼ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Empire State Of Mind be the first song performed by Jay-Z during the 2027 NFL Championship Halftime Show?
NFL · tracked since October 27, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 28, 2026
4%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 27 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Empire State Of Mind | 8% | 4% | ▼ 4 |
Full history table
| Date | Empire State Of Mind |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | 4% |
| 2026-10-27 | 8% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Empire State Of Mind be the first song performed by Jay-Z during the 2027 NFL Championship Halftime Show — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, October 28, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 4%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Empire State Of Mind be the first song performed by Jay-Z during the 2027 NFL Championship Halftime Show — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 2 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 8% on October 27, 2026 to 4% on October 28, 2026 — a change of 4 points.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Empire State Of Mind be the first song performed by Jay-Z during the 2027 NFL Championship Halftime Show” for 2 days, since October 27, 2026. As of October 28, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 4%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 8% to 4%, ranging between 4% and 8% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 28, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.