Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 26, 2026
Final tracked odds
▲ 15 since the previous update. ▲ 21 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
What happened: The market said 52% on July 26, 2026. Fox News won.
| Outcome | Jul 25 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News | 57% | 72% | ▲ 15 |
| Date | Fox News |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | 72% |
| 2026-07-25 | 57% |
| 2026-07-24 | 58% |
| 2026-07-23 | 55% |
| 2026-07-22 | 71% |
| 2026-07-21 | 53% |
| 2026-07-20 | 60% |
| 2026-07-19 | 51% |
| 2026-07-18 | 60% |
| 2026-07-17 | 55% |
| 2026-07-16 | 55% |
| 2026-07-15 | 62% |
| 2026-07-14 | 34% |
| 2026-07-13 | 36% |
| 2026-07-12 | 27% |
| 2026-07-11 | 28% |
| 2026-07-10 | 27% |
| 2026-07-09 | 26% |
| 2026-07-08 | 30% |
| 2026-07-07 | 36% |
| 2026-07-06 * | 30% |
| 2026-07-05 * | 36% |
| 2026-07-04 * | 39% |
| 2026-07-03 * | 41% |
| 2026-07-02 * | 51% |
* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Trump say "Fox News" before Aug 1, 2026” for 20 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 26, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 72%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 36% to 72%, ranging between 26% and 72% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 26, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.