The Morning Line

Who will win the 2026 NL East title?

Everything Else · tracked since July 8, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET

0.4%

Today’s odds

As of August 6, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 0.4%.

Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 8Jul 21Jul 30Aug 3Aug 6Miami Marlins — Jul 8: 5%Miami Marlins — Jul 12: 4%Miami Marlins — Jul 20: 2%Miami Marlins — Jul 21: 1.2%Miami Marlins — Aug 1: 0.5%Miami Marlins — Aug 2: 0.5%Miami Marlins — Aug 3: 0.5%Miami Marlins — Aug 4: 0.5%Miami Marlins — Aug 5: 0.4%Miami Marlins — Aug 6: 0.4%0.4%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeAug 5TodayMove
Miami Marlins0.4%0.4%
Full history table
DateMiami Marlins
2026-08-060.4%
2026-08-050.4%
2026-08-040.5%
2026-08-030.5%
2026-08-020.5%
2026-08-010.5%
2026-07-31
2026-07-30
2026-07-29
2026-07-28
2026-07-211.2%
2026-07-202%
2026-07-124%
2026-07-085%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will win the 2026 NL East title — what are the odds?
As of August 6, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 0.4%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Who will win the 2026 NL East title — have the odds gone up or down?
Down. Over the 10 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 5% on July 8, 2026 to 0.4% on August 6, 2026 — a change of 5 points.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the 2026 NL East title” for 10 days, since July 8, 2026. As of August 6, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 0.4%. The chance for a yes has fallen from 5% to 0.4%, ranging between 0.4% and 5% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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