Final tracked odds
As of September 20, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 1.0%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Who will win the 2026 NL East title?
Everything Else · tracked since July 8, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 20, 2026
1.0%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 19 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies | 1.1% | 1.0% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-19 | 1.1% |
| 2026-09-18 | 1.4% |
| 2026-09-17 | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-16 | 1.2% |
| 2026-09-15 | 4% |
| 2026-09-14 | 3% |
| 2026-09-13 | 2% |
| 2026-09-12 | 4% |
| 2026-09-11 | 8% |
| 2026-09-10 | 16% |
| 2026-09-09 | 11% |
| 2026-09-08 | 13% |
| 2026-09-07 | 12% |
| 2026-09-06 | 14% |
| 2026-09-05 | 14% |
| 2026-09-04 | 20% |
| 2026-09-03 | 20% |
| 2026-09-02 | 30% |
| 2026-09-01 | 19% |
| 2026-08-31 | — |
| 2026-08-30 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | — |
| 2026-08-19 | 15% |
| 2026-08-18 | 9% |
| 2026-08-17 | 4% |
| 2026-08-16 | 4% |
| 2026-08-15 | 2% |
| 2026-08-14 | 4% |
| 2026-08-13 | 5% |
| 2026-08-12 | 4% |
| 2026-08-11 | 7% |
| 2026-08-10 | 5% |
| 2026-08-09 | 6% |
| 2026-08-08 | 4% |
| 2026-08-07 | 8% |
| 2026-08-06 | — |
| 2026-08-05 | — |
| 2026-08-04 | — |
| 2026-08-03 | — |
| 2026-08-02 | — |
| 2026-08-01 | — |
| 2026-07-31 | 17% |
| 2026-07-30 | 17% |
| 2026-07-29 | 16% |
| 2026-07-28 | 24% |
| 2026-07-21 | — |
| 2026-07-20 | — |
| 2026-07-12 | — |
| 2026-07-08 | — |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Who will win the 2026 NL East title — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, September 20, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 1.0%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Who will win the 2026 NL East title — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 37 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 24% on July 28, 2026 to 1.0% on September 20, 2026 — a change of 23 points.
- Who will win the 2026 NL East title — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 37 tracked days the odds ranged between 1.0% and 30%. The final reading of 1.0% sits at the bottom of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the 2026 NL East title” for 37 days, since July 8, 2026. As of September 20, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 1.0%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 24% to 1.0%, ranging between 1.0% and 30% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 20, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.