Final tracked odds
As of July 10, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 6%.
▼ 8 since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
What happened: The market said 6% on July 10, 2026. It didn't happen.
Will Tierra and KC win Love Island USA Season 8?
Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 10, 2026
6%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Jul 9 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tierra and KC | 13% | 6% | ▼ 8 |
Full history table
| Date | Tierra and KC |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | 6% |
| 2026-07-09 | 13% |
| 2026-07-08 | 22% |
| 2026-07-07 | 15% |
| 2026-07-06 * | 5% |
| 2026-07-05 * | 3% |
| 2026-07-04 * | 1.0% |
| 2026-07-03 * | 5% |
| 2026-07-02 * | 3% |
| 2026-07-01 * | 2% |
| 2026-06-30 * | 2% |
| 2026-06-29 * | 1.0% |
| 2026-06-28 * | 3% |
| 2026-06-27 * | 1.0% |
| 2026-06-26 * | 2% |
| 2026-06-25 * | 1.0% |
| 2026-06-24 * | 3% |
| 2026-06-23 * | 9% |
* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Tierra and KC win Love Island USA Season 8 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, July 10, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 6%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Tierra and KC win Love Island USA Season 8 — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 4 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 15% on July 7, 2026 to 6% on July 10, 2026 — a change of 9 points.
- Will Tierra and KC win Love Island USA Season 8 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 4 tracked days the odds ranged between 6% and 22%. The final reading of 6% sits at the bottom of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Tierra and KC win Love Island USA Season 8” for 4 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 10, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 6%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 15% to 6%, ranging between 6% and 22% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 10, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.