Final tracked odds
As of August 17, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 20%.
▼ 5 since the previous update. ▼ 11 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Gianni Infantino leave from being President of FIFA in 2026?
Politics · tracked since July 31, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 17, 2026
20%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 16 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 26% | 20% | ▼ 5 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | 20% |
| 2026-08-16 | 26% |
| 2026-08-14 | 21% |
| 2026-08-13 | 24% |
| 2026-08-12 | 28% |
| 2026-08-11 | 26% |
| 2026-08-10 | 32% |
| 2026-08-09 | 22% |
| 2026-08-08 | 34% |
| 2026-08-07 | 27% |
| 2026-08-06 | 24% |
| 2026-08-05 | 40% |
| 2026-08-04 | 40% |
| 2026-08-03 | 48% |
| 2026-08-02 | 41% |
| 2026-08-01 | 39% |
| 2026-07-31 | 55% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Gianni Infantino leave from being President of FIFA in 2026 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, August 17, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 20%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Gianni Infantino leave from being President of FIFA in 2026 — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 17 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 55% on July 31, 2026 to 20% on August 17, 2026 — a change of 35 points.
- Will Gianni Infantino leave from being President of FIFA in 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 17 tracked days the odds ranged between 20% and 55%. The final reading of 20% sits at the bottom of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Gianni Infantino leave from being President of FIFA in 2026” for 17 days, since July 31, 2026. As of August 17, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 20%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 55% to 20%, ranging between 20% and 55% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 17, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.