Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31 — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, September 27, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 63%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31 — did the odds go up or down?

Down. Over the 5 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 75% on September 23, 2026 to 63% on September 27, 2026 — a change of 12 points.

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31 — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 5 tracked days the odds ranged between 63% and 81%. The final reading of 63% sits at the bottom of that range.

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Everything Else · tracked since September 23, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 27, 2026

63%

Final tracked odds

As of September 27, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 63%.

▼ 7 since the previous update. ▼ 12 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Sep 26	Today	Move
Yes	71%	63%	▼ 7

Full history table

Date	Yes
2026-09-27	63%
2026-09-26	71%
2026-09-25	74%
2026-09-24	81%
2026-09-23	75%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31 — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, September 27, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 63%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31 — did the odds go up or down?: Down. Over the 5 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 75% on September 23, 2026 to 63% on September 27, 2026 — a change of 12 points.
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31 — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 5 tracked days the odds ranged between 63% and 81%. The final reading of 63% sits at the bottom of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31” for 5 days, since September 23, 2026. As of September 27, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 63%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 75% to 63%, ranging between 63% and 81% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 27, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.