Final tracked odds
As of July 18, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 3%.
▼ 1 since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
What happened: The market said 4% on July 18, 2026. It didn't happen.
Will Robert MacIntyre win the The Open Championship?
Golf · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 18, 2026
3%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Jul 17 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Robert MacIntyre | 4% | 3% | ▼ 1 |
Full history table
| Date | Robert MacIntyre |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | 3% |
| 2026-07-17 | 4% |
| 2026-07-16 | 5% |
| 2026-07-15 | 3% |
| 2026-07-14 | 3% |
| 2026-07-13 | 3% |
| 2026-07-12 | 2% |
| 2026-07-11 | 2% |
| 2026-07-10 | 2% |
| 2026-07-09 | 2% |
| 2026-07-08 | 2% |
| 2026-07-07 | 2% |
| 2026-07-06 * | 2% |
| 2026-07-05 * | 2% |
| 2026-07-04 * | 2% |
| 2026-07-03 * | 2% |
| 2026-07-02 * | 2% |
| 2026-07-01 * | 2% |
| 2026-06-30 * | 2% |
| 2026-06-29 * | 2% |
| 2026-06-28 * | 2% |
| 2026-06-27 * | 2% |
| 2026-06-26 * | 2% |
| 2026-06-25 * | 2% |
| 2026-06-24 * | 3% |
| 2026-06-23 * | 3% |
| 2026-06-22 * | 1.0% |
* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Robert MacIntyre win the The Open Championship — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, July 18, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 3%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Robert MacIntyre win the The Open Championship — how much did the odds move?
- Barely. Across 12 tracked days the odds held near 2%, ending at 3% on July 18, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Robert MacIntyre win the The Open Championship” for 12 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 18, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 3%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 2%, ranging between 2% and 5% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 18, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.