The Morning Line

Where will Rodri go next?

Everything Else · tracked since July 24, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET

87%

Today’s odds

As of August 9, 2026, market-consensus odds make Barcelona the most likely outcome at 87%.

▲ 1 since the previous update. ▲ 84 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

BarcelonaManchester CityReal Madrid
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 24Jul 28Aug 1Aug 5Aug 9Barcelona — Jul 24: 2%Barcelona — Jul 25: 10%Barcelona — Jul 26: 8%Barcelona — Jul 27: 6%Barcelona — Jul 28: 6%Barcelona — Jul 29: 2%Barcelona — Jul 30: 2%Barcelona — Jul 31: 2%Barcelona — Aug 1: 2%Barcelona — Aug 2: 2%Barcelona — Aug 3: 2%Barcelona — Aug 4: 11%Barcelona — Aug 5: 17%Barcelona — Aug 6: 40%Barcelona — Aug 7: 82%Barcelona — Aug 8: 86%Barcelona — Aug 9: 87%87%Manchester City — Jul 24: 34%Manchester City — Jul 25: 31%Manchester City — Jul 26: 26%Manchester City — Jul 27: 26%Manchester City — Jul 28: 30%Manchester City — Jul 29: 14%Manchester City — Jul 30: 18%Manchester City — Jul 31: 27%Manchester City — Aug 1: 28%Manchester City — Aug 2: 24%Manchester City — Aug 3: 28%Manchester City — Aug 4: 20%Manchester City — Aug 5: 20%Manchester City — Aug 6: 36%Manchester City — Aug 7: 14%Manchester City — Aug 8: 8%Manchester City — Aug 9: 8%Real Madrid — Jul 24: 50%Real Madrid — Jul 25: 68%Real Madrid — Jul 26: 64%Real Madrid — Jul 27: 68%Real Madrid — Jul 28: 60%Real Madrid — Jul 29: 82%Real Madrid — Jul 30: 80%Real Madrid — Jul 31: 76%Real Madrid — Aug 1: 74%Real Madrid — Aug 2: 71%Real Madrid — Aug 3: 68%Real Madrid — Aug 4: 76%Real Madrid — Aug 5: 67%Real Madrid — Aug 6: 36%Real Madrid — Aug 7: 2%Real Madrid — Aug 8: 4%Real Madrid — Aug 9: 4%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeAug 8TodayMove
Barcelona86%87%▲ 1
Manchester City8%8%▼ 1
Real Madrid4%4%▲ 1
Full history table
DateBarcelonaManchester CityReal Madrid
2026-08-0987%8%4%
2026-08-0886%8%4%
2026-08-0782%14%2%
2026-08-0640%36%36%
2026-08-0517%20%67%
2026-08-0411%20%76%
2026-08-032%28%68%
2026-08-022%24%71%
2026-08-012%28%74%
2026-07-312%27%76%
2026-07-302%18%80%
2026-07-292%14%82%
2026-07-286%30%60%
2026-07-276%26%68%
2026-07-268%26%64%
2026-07-2510%31%68%
2026-07-242%34%50%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Where will Rodri go next — what are the odds?
As of August 9, 2026, Barcelona leads at 87%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Where will Rodri go next — have the odds gone up or down?
Up. Over the 17 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 2% on July 24, 2026 to 87% on August 9, 2026 — a change of 85 points.
Where will Rodri go next — what are the highest and lowest odds?
Over 17 tracked days the odds ranged between 2% and 87%. The current reading of 87% sits at the top of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Where will Rodri go next” for 17 days, since July 24, 2026. As of August 9, 2026, Barcelona leads the field at 87%. The chance for Barcelona has risen from 2% to 87%, ranging between 2% and 87% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

More questions we track

The Morning Line reports market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. The numbers are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.

Every number here is free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0 — see the open data.