Final tracked odds
As of October 4, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 0.4%.
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?
NBA · tracked since August 2, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 4, 2026
0.4%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 3 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.4% | 0.4% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 0.4% |
| 2026-10-03 | 0.4% |
| 2026-09-30 | 0.7% |
| 2026-09-29 | 0.7% |
| 2026-09-28 | 0.8% |
| 2026-09-26 | 0.7% |
| 2026-08-02 | 4% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, October 4, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 0.4%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 7 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 4% on August 2, 2026 to 0.4% on October 4, 2026 — a change of 4 points.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors” for 7 days, since August 2, 2026. As of October 4, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 0.4%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 4% to 0.4%, ranging between 0.4% and 4% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 4, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.