Everything Else · tracked since September 3, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET
Today’s odds
▼ 1 since the previous update. ▼ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
| Outcome | Sep 3 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 4% | 4% | ▼ 1 |
| Before Sep 15, 2026 | 4% | 2% | ▼ 3 |
| Date | Before Oct 1, 2026 | Before Sep 15, 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | 4% | 2% |
| 2026-09-03 | 4% | 4% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz after himself” for 2 days, since September 3, 2026. As of September 4, 2026, no outcome clears 10% — Before Oct 1, 2026 leads at 4%. The chance for the leading outcome has held near 4% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.