UFC · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 11, 2026
Final tracked odds
▲ 3 since the previous update. ▲ 3 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
What happened: The market said 46% on July 11, 2026. Paddy Pimblett won.
| Outcome | Jul 10 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Pimblett | 44% | 46% | ▲ 3 |
| Date | Paddy Pimblett |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | 46% |
| 2026-07-10 | 44% |
| 2026-07-09 | 44% |
| 2026-07-08 | 44% |
| 2026-07-07 | 44% |
| 2026-07-06 * | 44% |
| 2026-07-05 * | 44% |
| 2026-07-04 * | 44% |
| 2026-07-03 * | 44% |
| 2026-07-02 * | 47% |
| 2026-07-01 * | 46% |
| 2026-06-30 * | 44% |
* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Paddy Pimblett win the Saint-Denis vs Pimblett professional MMA fight scheduled for Jul 11, 2026” for 5 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 11, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 46%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 44% to 46%, ranging between 44% and 46% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 11, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.