The Morning Line

Will J.J. Spaun win the The Open Championship?

Golf · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 17, 2026

1.1%

Final tracked odds

As of July 17, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 1.1%.

▲ 1 since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 0.9% on July 17, 2026. It didn't happen.

How the odds have moved

tracking begins0%25%50%75%100%Jun 22Jun 28Jul 4Jul 11Jul 17J.J. Spaun — Jun 22: 2%J.J. Spaun — Jun 23: 2%J.J. Spaun — Jun 24: 2%J.J. Spaun — Jun 25: 2%J.J. Spaun — Jun 26: 0.5%J.J. Spaun — Jun 27: 1.0%J.J. Spaun — Jun 28: 1.0%J.J. Spaun — Jun 29: 1.0%J.J. Spaun — Jun 30: 1.0%J.J. Spaun — Jul 1: 1.0%J.J. Spaun — Jul 2: 1.0%J.J. Spaun — Jul 3: 1.0%J.J. Spaun — Jul 4: 1.0%J.J. Spaun — Jul 5: 0.9%J.J. Spaun — Jul 6: 0.8%J.J. Spaun — Jul 7: 0.7%J.J. Spaun — Jul 8: 0.7%J.J. Spaun — Jul 9: 0.6%J.J. Spaun — Jul 10: 0.7%J.J. Spaun — Jul 11: 0.7%J.J. Spaun — Jul 12: 0.8%J.J. Spaun — Jul 13: 0.9%J.J. Spaun — Jul 14: 0.9%J.J. Spaun — Jul 15: 0.9%J.J. Spaun — Jul 16: 0.5%J.J. Spaun — Jul 17: 1.1%1.1%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 16TodayMove
J.J. Spaun0.5%1.1%▲ 1
Full history table
DateJ.J. Spaun
2026-07-171.1%
2026-07-160.5%
2026-07-150.9%
2026-07-140.9%
2026-07-130.9%
2026-07-120.8%
2026-07-110.7%
2026-07-100.7%
2026-07-090.6%
2026-07-080.7%
2026-07-070.7%
2026-07-06 *0.8%
2026-07-05 *0.9%
2026-07-04 *1.0%
2026-07-03 *1.0%
2026-07-02 *1.0%
2026-07-01 *1.0%
2026-06-30 *1.0%
2026-06-29 *1.0%
2026-06-28 *1.0%
2026-06-27 *1.0%
2026-06-26 *0.5%
2026-06-25 *2%
2026-06-24 *2%
2026-06-23 *2%
2026-06-22 *2%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will J.J. Spaun win the The Open Championship — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, July 17, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 1.1%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will J.J. Spaun win the The Open Championship — how much did the odds move?
Barely. Across 11 tracked days the odds held near 0.7%, ending at 1.1% on July 17, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will J.J. Spaun win the The Open Championship” for 11 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 17, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 1.1%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 0.7% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 17, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

Related questions

The Morning Line publishes probability forecasts built from market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. Forecasts are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.

Every number here is free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0 — see the open data.