The Morning Line

Will the average U.S. price of a Chipotle Chicken Burrito for September 2026 be at least $9.81?

Everything Else · tracked since September 1, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 7, 2026

96%

Final tracked odds

As of September 7, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 96%.

Unchanged since the previous update. ▲ 10 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 96% on September 7, 2026. At least $9.81 won.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 1Sep 2Sep 3Sep 6Sep 7At least $9.81 — Sep 1: 86%At least $9.81 — Sep 2: 91%At least $9.81 — Sep 3: 86%At least $9.81 — Sep 6: 96%At least $9.81 — Sep 7: 96%96%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeSep 6TodayMove
At least $9.8196%96%—
Full history table
DateAt least $9.81
2026-09-0796%
2026-09-0696%
2026-09-0386%
2026-09-0291%
2026-09-0186%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will the average U.S. price of a Chipotle Chicken Burrito for September 2026 be at least $9.81 — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, September 7, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 96%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will the average U.S. price of a Chipotle Chicken Burrito for September 2026 be at least $9.81 — did the odds go up or down?
Up. Over the 5 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 86% on September 1, 2026 to 96% on September 7, 2026 — a change of 10 points.
Will the average U.S. price of a Chipotle Chicken Burrito for September 2026 be at least $9.81 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
Over 5 tracked days the odds ranged between 86% and 96%. The final reading of 96% sits at the top of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will the average U.S. price of a Chipotle Chicken Burrito for September 2026 be at least $9.81” for 5 days, since September 1, 2026. As of September 7, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 96%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 86% to 96%, ranging between 86% and 96% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 7, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

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