The Morning Line

Who will win the 2026 World Series?

MLB · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET

30%

Today’s odds

As of July 29, 2026, market-consensus odds make the Los Angeles Dodgers the most likely outcome at 30%.

▼ 2 since the previous update. ▼ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

the Los Angeles Dodgersthe Atlanta Bravesthe Texas Rangersthe Cleveland Guardiansthe New York Mets
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 13Jul 18Jul 23Jul 29the Los Angeles Dodgers — Jul 20: 32%the Los Angeles Dodgers — Jul 21: 32%the Los Angeles Dodgers — Jul 22: 32%the Los Angeles Dodgers — Jul 23: 32%the Los Angeles Dodgers — Jul 24: 34%the Los Angeles Dodgers — Jul 25: 33%the Los Angeles Dodgers — Jul 26: 32%the Los Angeles Dodgers — Jul 27: 32%the Los Angeles Dodgers — Jul 28: 32%the Los Angeles Dodgers — Jul 29: 30%30%the Atlanta Braves — Jul 7: 7%the Atlanta Braves — Jul 8: 7%the Atlanta Braves — Jul 9: 7%the Atlanta Braves — Jul 10: 7%the Atlanta Braves — Jul 11: 7%the Atlanta Braves — Jul 12: 8%the Atlanta Braves — Jul 13: 7%the Atlanta Braves — Jul 14: 8%the Atlanta Braves — Jul 15: 8%the Atlanta Braves — Jul 16: 7%the Atlanta Braves — Jul 17: 7%the Atlanta Braves — Jul 18: 7%the Atlanta Braves — Jul 19: 7%the Atlanta Braves — Jul 20: 7%the Atlanta Braves — Jul 21: 7%the Atlanta Braves — Jul 22: 7%the Atlanta Braves — Jul 23: 7%the Atlanta Braves — Jul 24: 7%the Atlanta Braves — Jul 25: 7%the Atlanta Braves — Jul 26: 7%the Atlanta Braves — Jul 27: 7%the Atlanta Braves — Jul 28: 7%the Atlanta Braves — Jul 29: 7%the Texas Rangers — Jul 7: 2%the Texas Rangers — Jul 8: 2%the Texas Rangers — Jul 9: 2%the Texas Rangers — Jul 10: 2%the Texas Rangers — Jul 11: 2%the Texas Rangers — Jul 12: 3%the Texas Rangers — Jul 13: 3%the Texas Rangers — Jul 14: 2%the Texas Rangers — Jul 15: 2%the Texas Rangers — Jul 16: 2%the Texas Rangers — Jul 17: 2%the Texas Rangers — Jul 18: 2%the Texas Rangers — Jul 19: 2%the Texas Rangers — Jul 20: 2%the Texas Rangers — Jul 21: 2%the Texas Rangers — Jul 22: 2%the Texas Rangers — Jul 23: 2%the Texas Rangers — Jul 24: 2%the Texas Rangers — Jul 25: 2%the Texas Rangers — Jul 26: 3%the Texas Rangers — Jul 27: 3%the Texas Rangers — Jul 28: 3%the Texas Rangers — Jul 29: 3%the Cleveland Guardians — Jul 14: 3%the Cleveland Guardians — Jul 15: 3%the Cleveland Guardians — Jul 16: 3%the Cleveland Guardians — Jul 17: 3%the Cleveland Guardians — Jul 20: 2%the Cleveland Guardians — Jul 21: 2%the Cleveland Guardians — Jul 22: 3%the Cleveland Guardians — Jul 23: 3%the Cleveland Guardians — Jul 24: 3%the Cleveland Guardians — Jul 25: 3%the Cleveland Guardians — Jul 26: 3%the Cleveland Guardians — Jul 27: 3%the Cleveland Guardians — Jul 28: 3%the Cleveland Guardians — Jul 29: 3%the New York Mets — Jul 7: 0.7%the New York Mets — Jul 8: 0.7%the New York Mets — Jul 9: 0.7%the New York Mets — Jul 10: 0.7%the New York Mets — Jul 11: 0.7%the New York Mets — Jul 12: 0.7%the New York Mets — Jul 13: 0.5%the New York Mets — Jul 14: 0.5%the New York Mets — Jul 15: 0.5%the New York Mets — Jul 16: 0.5%the New York Mets — Jul 17: 0.5%the New York Mets — Jul 18: 0.5%the New York Mets — Jul 19: 0.5%the New York Mets — Jul 20: 0.4%the New York Mets — Jul 21: 0.4%the New York Mets — Jul 22: 0.4%the New York Mets — Jul 23: 0.4%the New York Mets — Jul 24: 0.4%the New York Mets — Jul 25: 0.4%the New York Mets — Jul 26: 0.4%the New York Mets — Jul 27: 0.4%the New York Mets — Jul 28: 0.4%the New York Mets — Jul 29: 0.4%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 28TodayMove
the Los Angeles Dodgers32%30%▼ 2
the Atlanta Braves7%7%—
the Texas Rangers3%3%—
the Cleveland Guardians3%3%—
the New York Mets0.4%0.4%—
the Minnesota Twins0.4%0.4%—
Full history table
Datethe Los Angeles Dodgersthe Atlanta Bravesthe Texas Rangersthe Cleveland Guardiansthe New York Metsthe Minnesota Twins
2026-07-2930%7%3%3%0.4%0.4%
2026-07-2832%7%3%3%0.4%0.4%
2026-07-2732%7%3%3%0.4%0.2%
2026-07-2632%7%3%3%0.4%—
2026-07-2533%7%2%3%0.4%0.4%
2026-07-2434%7%2%3%0.4%0.4%
2026-07-2332%7%2%3%0.4%0.4%
2026-07-2232%7%2%3%0.4%0.5%
2026-07-2132%7%2%2%0.4%0.5%
2026-07-2032%7%2%2%0.4%0.5%
2026-07-19—7%2%—0.5%—
2026-07-18—7%2%—0.5%—
2026-07-17—7%2%3%0.5%—
2026-07-16—7%2%3%0.5%—
2026-07-15—8%2%3%0.5%0.5%
2026-07-14—8%2%3%0.5%—
2026-07-13—7%3%—0.5%0.4%
2026-07-12—8%3%—0.7%0.4%
2026-07-11—7%2%—0.7%—
2026-07-10—7%2%—0.7%—
2026-07-09—7%2%—0.7%—
2026-07-08—7%2%—0.7%0.4%
2026-07-07—7%2%—0.7%—

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will win the 2026 World Series — what are the odds?
As of July 29, 2026, the Los Angeles Dodgers leads at 30%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Who will win the 2026 World Series — have the odds gone up or down?
Down. Over the 10 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 32% on July 20, 2026 to 30% on July 29, 2026 — a change of 2 points.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the 2026 World Series” for 10 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 29, 2026, the Los Angeles Dodgers leads the field at 30%. The chance for the Los Angeles Dodgers has fallen from 32% to 30%, ranging between 30% and 34% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

Related questions

The Morning Line publishes probability forecasts built from market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. Forecasts are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.

Every number here is free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0 — see the open data.