The Morning Line

Who will win the 2026 World Series?

MLB · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET

34%

Today’s odds

As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 34%.

▼ 8 since the previous update. ▲ 6 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 29Aug 19Sep 9Oct 12the Los Angeles Dodgers — Jul 20: 32%the Los Angeles Dodgers — Oct 12: 34%34%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeOct 11TodayMove
the Los Angeles Dodgers42%34%▼ 8
Full history table
Datethe Los Angeles Dodgers
2026-10-1234%
2026-10-1142%
2026-10-1042%
2026-10-0942%
2026-10-0844%
2026-10-0738%
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2026-07-3132%
2026-07-3032%
2026-07-2930%
2026-07-2832%
2026-07-2732%
2026-07-2632%
2026-07-2533%
2026-07-2434%
2026-07-2332%
2026-07-2232%
2026-07-2132%
2026-07-2032%
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2026-07-07—

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will win the 2026 World Series — what are the odds?
As of October 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 34%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Who will win the 2026 World Series — have the odds gone up or down?
Up. Over the 19 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 32% on July 20, 2026 to 34% on October 12, 2026 — a change of 2 points.
Who will win the 2026 World Series — what are the highest and lowest odds?
Over 19 tracked days the odds ranged between 28% and 44%. The current reading of 34% sits inside that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the 2026 World Series” for 19 days, since July 7, 2026. As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 34%. The chance for a yes has risen from 32% to 34%, ranging between 28% and 44% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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