The Morning Line

Who will win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

NFL · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET

7%

Today’s odds

As of October 12, 2026, this is wide open — no outcome clears 10% in market-consensus odds; Cincinnati Bengals leads at 7%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Cincinnati BengalsIndianapolis ColtsMiami Dolphins
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 31Aug 22Sep 19Oct 12Cincinnati Bengals — Jul 20: 7%Cincinnati Bengals — Oct 12: 7%7%Indianapolis Colts — Jul 20: 3%Indianapolis Colts — Oct 12: 1.4%Miami Dolphins — Oct 1: 0.4%Miami Dolphins — Oct 12: 0.4%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeOct 11TodayMove
Cincinnati Bengals6%7%—
Indianapolis Colts1.4%1.4%—
Miami Dolphins0.4%0.4%—
Full history table
DateCincinnati BengalsIndianapolis ColtsMiami Dolphins
2026-10-127%1.4%0.4%
2026-10-116%1.4%0.4%
2026-10-108%2%0.4%
2026-10-096%2%0.4%
2026-10-086%2%0.4%
2026-10-076%2%0.4%
2026-10-066%2%0.4%
2026-10-057%2%0.4%
2026-10-049%——
2026-10-039%1.5%0.4%
2026-10-029%2%0.4%
2026-10-018%2%0.4%
2026-09-30———
2026-09-29———
2026-09-28———
2026-09-27———
2026-09-25———
2026-09-24———
2026-09-23———
2026-09-22———
2026-09-21———
2026-09-20———
2026-09-19———
2026-09-18———
2026-09-17———
2026-09-16———
2026-09-15———
2026-09-13———
2026-09-12———
2026-09-08———
2026-09-07———
2026-09-06———
2026-09-05———
2026-09-04———
2026-09-03———
2026-08-31———
2026-08-30———
2026-08-29———
2026-08-28———
2026-08-27———
2026-08-26———
2026-08-25———
2026-08-24———
2026-08-23———
2026-08-22———
2026-08-21———
2026-08-20———
2026-08-19———
2026-08-18———
2026-08-17———
2026-08-16———
2026-08-15———
2026-08-14—3%—
2026-08-13—3%—
2026-08-12———
2026-08-11—3%—
2026-08-10—3%—
2026-08-097%3%—
2026-08-087%3%—
2026-08-077%3%—
2026-08-067%3%—
2026-08-057%3%—
2026-08-047%3%—
2026-08-037%3%—
2026-08-027%3%—
2026-08-017%3%—
2026-07-31———
2026-07-30———
2026-07-29———
2026-07-28———
2026-07-27———
2026-07-26———
2026-07-25———
2026-07-24———
2026-07-23———
2026-07-22———
2026-07-21—3%—
2026-07-207%3%—
2026-07-19———
2026-07-18———
2026-07-17———
2026-07-15———
2026-07-14———
2026-07-13———
2026-07-12———
2026-07-11———
2026-07-10———
2026-07-08———
2026-07-07———

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship — what are the odds?
As of October 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 7%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Who will win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship — how much have the odds move?
Barely. Across 22 tracked days the odds held near 7%, ending at 7% on October 12, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship” for 22 days, since July 7, 2026. As of October 12, 2026, no outcome clears 10% — Cincinnati Bengals leads at 7%. The chance for the leading outcome has held near 7%, ranging between 6% and 9% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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