The Morning Line

Who will win the 2027 NBA Finals?

NBA · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET

12%

Today’s odds

As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds make New York Knicks the most likely outcome at 12%.

▼ 1 since the previous update. ▼ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

New York KnicksMinnesota TimberwolvesMiami HeatToronto RaptorsDenver Nuggets
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 15Aug 6Aug 28Sep 20Oct 12New York Knicks — Oct 5: 12%New York Knicks — Oct 12: 12%12%Minnesota Timberwolves — Jul 26: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves — Oct 12: 5%Miami Heat — Jul 15: 3%Miami Heat — Oct 12: 4%Toronto Raptors — Aug 1: 4%Toronto Raptors — Oct 12: 3%Denver Nuggets — Oct 1: 3%Denver Nuggets — Oct 12: 3%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeOct 11TodayMove
New York Knicks12%12%▼ 1
Minnesota Timberwolves5%5%—
Miami Heat4%4%—
Toronto Raptors3%3%—
Denver Nuggets3%3%—
Detroit Pistons3%3%—
Cleveland Cavaliers2%3%—
Los Angeles Lakers2%2%—
Full history table
DateNew York KnicksMinnesota TimberwolvesMiami HeatToronto RaptorsDenver NuggetsDetroit PistonsCleveland CavaliersLos Angeles Lakers
2026-10-1212%5%4%3%3%3%3%2%
2026-10-1112%5%4%3%3%3%2%2%
2026-10-1012%5%4%3%3%3%2%2%
2026-10-0912%5%4%3%3%3%2%2%
2026-10-0812%5%4%3%3%3%2%2%
2026-10-0712%5%3%3%3%3%3%2%
2026-10-0612%5%3%3%3%3%2%2%
2026-10-0512%—3%3%3%3%2%2%
2026-10-04——3%3%—3%—2%
2026-10-03——3%3%3%3%2%2%
2026-10-02——3%3%3%3%2%2%
2026-10-01——3%—3%3%2%2%
2026-09-30———————2%
2026-09-29———————2%
2026-09-28————————
2026-09-27————————
2026-09-26————————
2026-09-25——————2%—
2026-09-24————————
2026-09-23——————2%—
2026-09-22——————2%—
2026-09-21——————2%—
2026-09-20————————
2026-09-19————————
2026-09-18————————
2026-09-17————————
2026-09-16————————
2026-09-15————————
2026-09-14————————
2026-09-13————————
2026-09-12————————
2026-09-11————————
2026-09-10————————
2026-09-09————————
2026-09-08————————
2026-09-07————————
2026-09-06————————
2026-09-05————————
2026-09-04————————
2026-09-03————————
2026-09-02————————
2026-09-01————————
2026-08-31————————
2026-08-30————————
2026-08-29————————
2026-08-28————————
2026-08-27————————
2026-08-26————————
2026-08-25————————
2026-08-24————————
2026-08-23————————
2026-08-22————————
2026-08-21————————
2026-08-20————————
2026-08-19————————
2026-08-18————————
2026-08-17————————
2026-08-16————————
2026-08-15————————
2026-08-14————————
2026-08-13————————
2026-08-12————————
2026-08-11————————
2026-08-10————————
2026-08-09———4%————
2026-08-08———4%————
2026-08-07———4%————
2026-08-06———4%————
2026-08-05———4%————
2026-08-04———4%————
2026-08-03———4%————
2026-08-02———4%————
2026-08-01———4%————
2026-07-31————————
2026-07-30————————
2026-07-29————————
2026-07-28————————
2026-07-27————————
2026-07-26—3%——————
2026-07-25————————
2026-07-24————————
2026-07-23———————2%
2026-07-22———————2%
2026-07-21——————4%2%
2026-07-20———————2%
2026-07-19——————4%—
2026-07-18————————
2026-07-17——3%—————
2026-07-16——3%—————
2026-07-15——3%—————
2026-07-14————————
2026-07-13—————3%——
2026-07-12————4%3%——
2026-07-118%3%—4%4%3%——
2026-07-108%3%—4%4%———
2026-07-09—3%——————
2026-07-088%3%——————
2026-07-07—3%——————

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will win the 2027 NBA Finals — what are the odds?
As of October 12, 2026, New York Knicks leads at 12%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Who will win the 2027 NBA Finals — have the odds gone up or down?
Up. Over the 11 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 8% on July 8, 2026 to 12% on October 12, 2026 — a change of 4 points.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the 2027 NBA Finals” for 11 days, since July 7, 2026. As of October 12, 2026, New York Knicks leads the field at 12%. The chance for New York Knicks has risen from 8% to 12%, ranging between 8% and 12% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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