Final tracked odds
As of November 3, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 95%.
▼ 4 since the previous update. ▼ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since October 27, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on November 3, 2026
95%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 28 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 99.0% | 95% | ▼ 4 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | 95% |
| 2026-10-28 | 99.0% |
| 2026-10-27 | 97% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, November 3, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 95%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026 — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 3 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 97% on October 27, 2026 to 95% on November 3, 2026 — a change of 2 points.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026” for 3 days, since October 27, 2026. As of November 3, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 95%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 97% to 95%, ranging between 95% and 99.0% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on November 3, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.