Final tracked odds
As of August 22, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 2%.
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Tie win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
Everything Else · tracked since August 20, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 22, 2026
2%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 21 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tie | 2% | 2% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Tie |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | 2% |
| 2026-08-21 | 2% |
| 2026-08-20 | 2% |
| 2026-08-19 * | 1.0% |
* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Tie win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, August 22, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 2%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Tie win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards” for 3 days, since August 20, 2026. As of August 22, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 2%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 2% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 22, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.