The Morning Line

Who will win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Politics · tracked since August 1, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET

0.1%

Today’s odds

As of October 12, 2026, this is wide open — no outcome clears 10% in market-consensus odds; Kostadin Kostadinov leads at 0.1%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Kostadin KostadinovBoyko Borissov
0%25%50%75%100%Aug 1Sep 4Sep 13Oct 3Oct 12Kostadin Kostadinov — Sep 28: 0.4%Kostadin Kostadinov — Oct 12: 0.1%0.1%Boyko Borissov — Oct 2: 0.1%Boyko Borissov — Oct 12: 0.1%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeOct 11TodayMove
Kostadin Kostadinov—0.1%—
Boyko Borissov—0.1%—
Full history table
DateKostadin KostadinovBoyko Borissov
2026-10-120.1%0.1%
2026-10-11——
2026-10-10——
2026-10-09——
2026-10-08——
2026-10-07—0.1%
2026-10-06—0.1%
2026-10-05—0.1%
2026-10-04——
2026-10-03——
2026-10-02—0.1%
2026-10-01——
2026-09-30——
2026-09-29——
2026-09-280.4%—
2026-09-25——
2026-09-23——
2026-09-13——
2026-09-12——
2026-09-11——
2026-09-10——
2026-09-09——
2026-09-08——
2026-09-07——
2026-09-06——
2026-09-05——
2026-09-04——
2026-09-03——
2026-09-02——
2026-09-01——
2026-08-06——
2026-08-05——
2026-08-04——
2026-08-03——
2026-08-02——
2026-08-01——

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will win the next Bulgarian presidential election — what are the odds?
As of October 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 0.1%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the next Bulgarian presidential election” for 2 days, since August 1, 2026. As of October 12, 2026, no outcome clears 10% — Kostadin Kostadinov leads at 0.1%. The chance for the leading outcome has held near 0.4% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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