Final tracked odds
As of September 20, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 30%.
▼ 2 since the previous update. ▼ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Everything Else · tracked since August 3, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 20, 2026
30%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 19 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 32% | 30% | ▼ 2 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | 30% |
| 2026-09-19 | 32% |
| 2026-09-18 | 32% |
| 2026-09-17 | 34% |
| 2026-09-16 | 36% |
| 2026-09-15 | 34% |
| 2026-09-14 | 33% |
| 2026-09-13 | 34% |
| 2026-09-12 | 33% |
| 2026-09-11 | 30% |
| 2026-08-31 | 50% |
| 2026-08-30 | 52% |
| 2026-08-29 | 52% |
| 2026-08-28 | 49% |
| 2026-08-27 | 50% |
| 2026-08-26 | 48% |
| 2026-08-25 | 43% |
| 2026-08-24 | 52% |
| 2026-08-08 | 72% |
| 2026-08-07 | 72% |
| 2026-08-05 | 74% |
| 2026-08-04 | 74% |
| 2026-08-03 | 76% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Trump and Putin not meet — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, September 20, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 30%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Trump and Putin not meet — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 23 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 76% on August 3, 2026 to 30% on September 20, 2026 — a change of 46 points.
- Will Trump and Putin not meet — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 23 tracked days the odds ranged between 30% and 76%. The final reading of 30% sits at the bottom of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Trump and Putin not meet” for 23 days, since August 3, 2026. As of September 20, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 30%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 76% to 30%, ranging between 30% and 76% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 20, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.