Final tracked odds
As of September 15, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 2%.
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 15, 2026
2%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 14 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | 2% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | 2% |
| 2026-09-14 | 2% |
| 2026-09-13 | 2% |
| 2026-09-12 | 2% |
| 2026-09-11 | 2% |
| 2026-09-10 | 2% |
| 2026-09-09 | 2% |
| 2026-09-08 | 2% |
| 2026-09-07 | 2% |
| 2026-09-06 | 2% |
| 2026-09-05 | 2% |
| 2026-09-04 | 2% |
| 2026-09-03 | 2% |
| 2026-09-02 | 2% |
| 2026-09-01 | 2% |
| 2026-08-31 | 2% |
| 2026-08-30 | 3% |
| 2026-08-29 | 2% |
| 2026-08-28 | 2% |
| 2026-08-27 | 2% |
| 2026-08-26 | 2% |
| 2026-08-25 | 2% |
| 2026-08-24 | 2% |
| 2026-08-23 | 2% |
| 2026-08-22 | 2% |
| 2026-08-21 | 2% |
| 2026-08-20 | 2% |
| 2026-08-19 | 2% |
| 2026-08-18 | 2% |
| 2026-08-17 | 2% |
| 2026-08-16 | 2% |
| 2026-08-15 | 2% |
| 2026-08-14 | 2% |
| 2026-08-13 | 2% |
| 2026-08-12 | 2% |
| 2026-08-11 | 3% |
| 2026-08-10 | 2% |
| 2026-08-09 | 2% |
| 2026-08-08 | 2% |
| 2026-08-07 | 2% |
| 2026-08-06 | 2% |
| 2026-08-05 | 2% |
| 2026-08-04 | 3% |
| 2026-08-03 | 2% |
| 2026-08-02 | 2% |
| 2026-08-01 | 2% |
| 2026-07-31 | 3% |
| 2026-07-30 | 2% |
| 2026-07-29 | 3% |
| 2026-07-28 | 3% |
| 2026-07-27 | 3% |
| 2026-07-26 | 3% |
| 2026-07-25 | 3% |
| 2026-07-24 | 2% |
| 2026-07-23 | 2% |
| 2026-07-22 | 2% |
| 2026-07-21 | 2% |
| 2026-07-20 | 3% |
| 2026-07-19 | 3% |
| 2026-07-18 | 3% |
| 2026-07-17 | 3% |
| 2026-07-16 | 3% |
| 2026-07-15 | 3% |
| 2026-07-14 | 3% |
| 2026-07-13 | 3% |
| 2026-07-12 | 3% |
| 2026-07-11 | 3% |
| 2026-07-10 | 3% |
| 2026-07-09 | 3% |
| 2026-07-08 | 3% |
| 2026-07-07 | 3% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, September 15, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 2%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026 — how much did the odds move?
- Barely. Across 71 tracked days the odds held near 3%, ending at 2% on September 15, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026” for 71 days, since July 7, 2026. As of September 15, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 2%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 3% to 2% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 15, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.