The Morning Line

Will Ben Griffin win the The Open Championship?

Golf · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 17, 2026

0.6%

Final tracked odds

As of July 17, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 0.6%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 1.0% on July 17, 2026. It didn't happen.

How the odds have moved

tracking begins0%25%50%75%100%Jun 22Jun 28Jul 4Jul 11Jul 17Ben Griffin — Jun 22: 2%Ben Griffin — Jun 23: 2%Ben Griffin — Jun 24: 2%Ben Griffin — Jun 25: 2%Ben Griffin — Jun 26: 1.4%Ben Griffin — Jun 27: 1.3%Ben Griffin — Jun 28: 1.2%Ben Griffin — Jun 29: 1.2%Ben Griffin — Jun 30: 1.2%Ben Griffin — Jul 1: 1.0%Ben Griffin — Jul 2: 1.0%Ben Griffin — Jul 3: 0.9%Ben Griffin — Jul 4: 0.9%Ben Griffin — Jul 5: 0.9%Ben Griffin — Jul 6: 0.9%Ben Griffin — Jul 7: 1.2%Ben Griffin — Jul 8: 0.9%Ben Griffin — Jul 9: 0.9%Ben Griffin — Jul 10: 0.9%Ben Griffin — Jul 11: 0.9%Ben Griffin — Jul 12: 0.9%Ben Griffin — Jul 13: 0.9%Ben Griffin — Jul 14: 0.9%Ben Griffin — Jul 15: 0.9%Ben Griffin — Jul 16: 0.7%Ben Griffin — Jul 17: 0.6%0.6%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 16TodayMove
Ben Griffin0.7%0.6%—
Full history table
DateBen Griffin
2026-07-170.6%
2026-07-160.7%
2026-07-150.9%
2026-07-140.9%
2026-07-130.9%
2026-07-120.9%
2026-07-110.9%
2026-07-100.9%
2026-07-090.9%
2026-07-080.9%
2026-07-071.2%
2026-07-06 *0.9%
2026-07-05 *0.9%
2026-07-04 *0.9%
2026-07-03 *0.9%
2026-07-02 *1.0%
2026-07-01 *1.0%
2026-06-30 *1.2%
2026-06-29 *1.2%
2026-06-28 *1.2%
2026-06-27 *1.3%
2026-06-26 *1.4%
2026-06-25 *2%
2026-06-24 *2%
2026-06-23 *2%
2026-06-22 *2%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Ben Griffin win the The Open Championship — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, July 17, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 0.6%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Ben Griffin win the The Open Championship — how much did the odds move?
Barely. Across 11 tracked days the odds held near 1.2%, ending at 0.6% on July 17, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Ben Griffin win the The Open Championship” for 11 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 17, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 0.6%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 1.2% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 17, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

Related questions

The Morning Line publishes probability forecasts built from market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. Forecasts are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.

Every number here is free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0 — see the open data.