Will Colton Smith win the Smith vs Gill: Round Of 32 match — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, August 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 60%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Will Colton Smith win the Smith vs Gill: Round Of 32 match — did the odds go up or down?

Up. Over the 3 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 56% on August 10, 2026 to 60% on August 12, 2026 — a change of 4 points.

Will Colton Smith win the Smith vs Gill: Round Of 32 match — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 3 tracked days the odds ranged between 56% and 62%. The final reading of 60% sits inside that range.

Will Colton Smith win the Smith vs Gill: Round Of 32 match?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Will Colton Smith win the Smith vs Gill: Round Of 32 match?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Tennis · tracked since August 10, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 12, 2026

60%

Final tracked odds

As of August 12, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 60%.

▼ 3 since the previous update. ▲ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 60% on August 12, 2026. It didn't happen.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Aug 11	Today	Move
Colton Smith	62%	60%	▼ 3

Full history table

Date	Colton Smith
2026-08-12	60%
2026-08-11	62%
2026-08-10	56%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Colton Smith win the Smith vs Gill: Round Of 32 match — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, August 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 60%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Colton Smith win the Smith vs Gill: Round Of 32 match — did the odds go up or down?: Up. Over the 3 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 56% on August 10, 2026 to 60% on August 12, 2026 — a change of 4 points.
Will Colton Smith win the Smith vs Gill: Round Of 32 match — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 3 tracked days the odds ranged between 56% and 62%. The final reading of 60% sits inside that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Colton Smith win the Smith vs Gill: Round Of 32 match” for 3 days, since August 10, 2026. As of August 12, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 60%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 56% to 60%, ranging between 56% and 62% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 12, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.