Final tracked odds
As of August 20, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 6%.
▲ 3 since the previous update. ▼ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?
Everything Else · tracked since August 13, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 20, 2026
6%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 19 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Harp | 4% | 6% | ▲ 3 |
Full history table
| Date | Natalie Harp |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | 6% |
| 2026-08-19 | 4% |
| 2026-08-18 | 4% |
| 2026-08-17 | 4% |
| 2026-08-16 | 4% |
| 2026-08-15 | 4% |
| 2026-08-14 | 4% |
| 2026-08-13 | 8% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary of United States — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, August 20, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 6%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary of United States — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 8 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 8% on August 13, 2026 to 6% on August 20, 2026 — a change of 2 points.
- Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary of United States — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 8 tracked days the odds ranged between 4% and 8%. The final reading of 6% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary of United States” for 8 days, since August 13, 2026. As of August 20, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 6%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 8% to 6%, ranging between 4% and 8% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 20, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.