The Morning Line

Will Collin Morikawa win the The Open Championship?

Golf · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 17, 2026

1.4%

Final tracked odds

As of July 17, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 1.4%.

▼ 8 since the previous update. ▼ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 5% on July 17, 2026. It didn't happen.

How the odds have moved

tracking begins0%25%50%75%100%Jun 22Jun 28Jul 4Jul 11Jul 17Collin Morikawa — Jun 22: 4%Collin Morikawa — Jun 23: 4%Collin Morikawa — Jun 24: 2%Collin Morikawa — Jun 25: 3%Collin Morikawa — Jun 26: 3%Collin Morikawa — Jun 27: 3%Collin Morikawa — Jun 28: 3%Collin Morikawa — Jun 29: 3%Collin Morikawa — Jun 30: 3%Collin Morikawa — Jul 1: 4%Collin Morikawa — Jul 2: 4%Collin Morikawa — Jul 3: 3%Collin Morikawa — Jul 4: 3%Collin Morikawa — Jul 5: 3%Collin Morikawa — Jul 6: 4%Collin Morikawa — Jul 7: 3%Collin Morikawa — Jul 8: 3%Collin Morikawa — Jul 9: 3%Collin Morikawa — Jul 10: 3%Collin Morikawa — Jul 11: 3%Collin Morikawa — Jul 12: 3%Collin Morikawa — Jul 13: 3%Collin Morikawa — Jul 14: 3%Collin Morikawa — Jul 15: 2%Collin Morikawa — Jul 16: 9%Collin Morikawa — Jul 17: 1.4%1.4%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 16TodayMove
Collin Morikawa9%1.4%▼ 8
Full history table
DateCollin Morikawa
2026-07-171.4%
2026-07-169%
2026-07-152%
2026-07-143%
2026-07-133%
2026-07-123%
2026-07-113%
2026-07-103%
2026-07-093%
2026-07-083%
2026-07-073%
2026-07-06 *4%
2026-07-05 *3%
2026-07-04 *3%
2026-07-03 *3%
2026-07-02 *4%
2026-07-01 *4%
2026-06-30 *3%
2026-06-29 *3%
2026-06-28 *3%
2026-06-27 *3%
2026-06-26 *3%
2026-06-25 *3%
2026-06-24 *2%
2026-06-23 *4%
2026-06-22 *4%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Collin Morikawa win the The Open Championship — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, July 17, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 1.4%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Collin Morikawa win the The Open Championship — did the odds go up or down?
Down. Over the 11 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 3% on July 7, 2026 to 1.4% on July 17, 2026 — a change of 2 points.
Will Collin Morikawa win the The Open Championship — what were the highest and lowest odds?
Over 11 tracked days the odds ranged between 1.4% and 9%. The final reading of 1.4% sits at the bottom of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Collin Morikawa win the The Open Championship” for 11 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 17, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 1.4%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 3% to 1.4%, ranging between 1.4% and 9% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 17, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

Related questions

The Morning Line publishes probability forecasts built from market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. Forecasts are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.

Every number here is free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0 — see the open data.