Will Karolina Muchova win the Muchova vs Gauff: Semifinal match — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, July 9, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 62%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Will Karolina Muchova win the Muchova vs Gauff: Semifinal match — did the odds go up or down?

Up. Over the 3 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 50% on July 7, 2026 to 62% on July 9, 2026 — a change of 12 points.

Will Karolina Muchova win the Muchova vs Gauff: Semifinal match — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 3 tracked days the odds ranged between 50% and 62%. The final reading of 62% sits at the top of that range.

Will Karolina Muchova win the Muchova vs Gauff: Semifinal match?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Will Karolina Muchova win the Muchova vs Gauff: Semifinal match?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Tennis · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 9, 2026

62%

Final tracked odds

As of July 9, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 62%.

▲ 11 since the previous update. ▲ 11 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 62% on July 9, 2026. Karolina Muchova won.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Jul 8	Today	Move
Karolina Muchova	50%	62%	▲ 11

Full history table

Date	Karolina Muchova
2026-07-09	62%
2026-07-08	50%
2026-07-07	50%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Karolina Muchova win the Muchova vs Gauff: Semifinal match — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, July 9, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 62%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Karolina Muchova win the Muchova vs Gauff: Semifinal match — did the odds go up or down?: Up. Over the 3 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 50% on July 7, 2026 to 62% on July 9, 2026 — a change of 12 points.
Will Karolina Muchova win the Muchova vs Gauff: Semifinal match — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 3 tracked days the odds ranged between 50% and 62%. The final reading of 62% sits at the top of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Karolina Muchova win the Muchova vs Gauff: Semifinal match” for 3 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 9, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 62%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 50% to 62%, ranging between 50% and 62% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 9, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.