The Morning Line

2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations?

Culture · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 5, 2026

6%

Final tracked odds

As of October 5, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 6%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 20Aug 2Aug 16Oct 5Wildwood — Oct 5: 6%Wildwood — Oct 5: 6%6%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeSep 14TodayMove
Wildwood—6%—
Full history table
DateWildwood
2026-10-056%
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Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations” for 1 day, since July 7, 2026. As of October 5, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 6%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 6% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 5, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

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