The Morning Line

Will Ludvig Aberg win the The Open Championship?

Golf · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 19, 2026

0.2%

Final tracked odds

As of July 19, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 0.2%.

▼ 2 since the previous update. ▼ 3 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 5% on July 19, 2026. It didn't happen.

How the odds have moved

tracking begins0%25%50%75%100%Jun 22Jun 29Jul 6Jul 12Jul 19Ludvig Aberg — Jun 22: 5%Ludvig Aberg — Jun 23: 4%Ludvig Aberg — Jun 24: 4%Ludvig Aberg — Jun 25: 4%Ludvig Aberg — Jun 26: 4%Ludvig Aberg — Jun 27: 4%Ludvig Aberg — Jun 28: 4%Ludvig Aberg — Jun 29: 4%Ludvig Aberg — Jun 30: 4%Ludvig Aberg — Jul 1: 4%Ludvig Aberg — Jul 2: 4%Ludvig Aberg — Jul 3: 3%Ludvig Aberg — Jul 4: 3%Ludvig Aberg — Jul 5: 4%Ludvig Aberg — Jul 6: 4%Ludvig Aberg — Jul 7: 3%Ludvig Aberg — Jul 8: 3%Ludvig Aberg — Jul 9: 3%Ludvig Aberg — Jul 10: 3%Ludvig Aberg — Jul 11: 3%Ludvig Aberg — Jul 12: 3%Ludvig Aberg — Jul 13: 2%Ludvig Aberg — Jul 14: 3%Ludvig Aberg — Jul 15: 2%Ludvig Aberg — Jul 16: 0.7%Ludvig Aberg — Jul 17: 2%Ludvig Aberg — Jul 18: 2%Ludvig Aberg — Jul 19: 0.2%0.2%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 18TodayMove
Ludvig Aberg2%0.2%▼ 2
Full history table
DateLudvig Aberg
2026-07-190.2%
2026-07-182%
2026-07-172%
2026-07-160.7%
2026-07-152%
2026-07-143%
2026-07-132%
2026-07-123%
2026-07-113%
2026-07-103%
2026-07-093%
2026-07-083%
2026-07-073%
2026-07-06 *4%
2026-07-05 *4%
2026-07-04 *3%
2026-07-03 *3%
2026-07-02 *4%
2026-07-01 *4%
2026-06-30 *4%
2026-06-29 *4%
2026-06-28 *4%
2026-06-27 *4%
2026-06-26 *4%
2026-06-25 *4%
2026-06-24 *4%
2026-06-23 *4%
2026-06-22 *5%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Ludvig Aberg win the The Open Championship — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, July 19, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 0.2%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Ludvig Aberg win the The Open Championship — did the odds go up or down?
Down. Over the 13 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 3% on July 7, 2026 to 0.2% on July 19, 2026 — a change of 3 points.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Ludvig Aberg win the The Open Championship” for 13 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 19, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 0.2%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 3% to 0.2%, ranging between 0.2% and 3% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 19, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

Related questions

The Morning Line publishes probability forecasts built from market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. Forecasts are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.

Every number here is free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0 — see the open data.