Final tracked odds
As of September 24, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 0.4%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 29 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
Politics · tracked since September 19, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 24, 2026
0.4%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 23 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.7% | 0.4% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | 0.4% |
| 2026-09-23 | 0.7% |
| 2026-09-22 | 0.4% |
| 2026-09-21 | 0.6% |
| 2026-09-19 | 30% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, September 24, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 0.4%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 5 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 30% on September 19, 2026 to 0.4% on September 24, 2026 — a change of 30 points.
- Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 5 tracked days the odds ranged between 0.4% and 30%. The final reading of 0.4% sits at the bottom of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election” for 5 days, since September 19, 2026. As of September 24, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 0.4%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 30% to 0.4%, ranging between 0.4% and 30% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 24, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.