Final tracked odds
As of September 27, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 14%.
▼ 2 since the previous update. ▼ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Everything Else · tracked since July 14, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 27, 2026
14%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 20 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 16% | 14% | ▼ 2 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | 14% |
| 2026-09-20 | 16% |
| 2026-09-19 | 18% |
| 2026-09-18 | 18% |
| 2026-09-17 | 14% |
| 2026-09-16 | 15% |
| 2026-09-08 | 14% |
| 2026-09-05 | 14% |
| 2026-08-31 | 12% |
| 2026-08-30 | 12% |
| 2026-08-29 | 14% |
| 2026-08-28 | 14% |
| 2026-08-27 | 12% |
| 2026-08-26 | 8% |
| 2026-08-25 | 12% |
| 2026-08-24 | 12% |
| 2026-08-23 | 12% |
| 2026-08-22 | 14% |
| 2026-08-21 | 14% |
| 2026-08-20 | 12% |
| 2026-07-26 | 18% |
| 2026-07-25 | 18% |
| 2026-07-19 | 19% |
| 2026-07-18 | 20% |
| 2026-07-17 | 20% |
| 2026-07-14 | 20% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, September 27, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 14%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 26 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 20% on July 14, 2026 to 14% on September 27, 2026 — a change of 6 points.
- StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 26 tracked days the odds ranged between 8% and 20%. The final reading of 14% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch” for 26 days, since July 14, 2026. As of September 27, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 14%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 20% to 14%, ranging between 8% and 20% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 27, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.