San Diego qualifies for the NLCS — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, October 5, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 12%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

San Diego qualifies for the NLCS — did the odds go up or down?

Down. Over the 3 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 28% on September 28, 2026 to 12% on October 5, 2026 — a change of 16 points.

San Diego qualifies for the NLCS — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 3 tracked days the odds ranged between 12% and 28%. The final reading of 12% sits at the bottom of that range.

San Diego qualifies for the NLCS?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: San Diego qualifies for the NLCS?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

MLB · tracked since September 28, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 5, 2026

12%

Final tracked odds

As of October 5, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 12%.

▼ 12 since the previous update. ▼ 15 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 12% on October 5, 2026. It didn't happen.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Sep 29	Today	Move
San Diego	24%	12%	▼ 12

Full history table

Date	San Diego
2026-10-05	12%
2026-09-29	24%
2026-09-28	28%
2026-09-27 *	28%
2026-09-26 *	30%
2026-09-25 *	27%
2026-09-24 *	15%
2026-09-23 *	23%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

San Diego qualifies for the NLCS — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, October 5, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 12%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
San Diego qualifies for the NLCS — did the odds go up or down?: Down. Over the 3 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 28% on September 28, 2026 to 12% on October 5, 2026 — a change of 16 points.
San Diego qualifies for the NLCS — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 3 tracked days the odds ranged between 12% and 28%. The final reading of 12% sits at the bottom of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “San Diego qualifies for the NLCS” for 3 days, since September 28, 2026. As of October 5, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 12%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 28% to 12%, ranging between 12% and 28% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 5, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.