Final tracked odds
As of October 9, 2026, market-consensus odds make Las Vegas Aces the most likely outcome at 12%.
▲ 2 since the previous update. ▼ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Who will win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
WNBA · tracked since July 11, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 9, 2026
12%
How the odds have moved
Las Vegas AcesNew York Liberty
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 8 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | 10% | 12% | ▲ 2 |
| New York Liberty | 6% | 8% | ▲ 3 |
Full history table
| Date | Las Vegas Aces | New York Liberty |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 12% | 8% |
| 2026-10-08 | 10% | 6% |
| 2026-10-07 | 22% | 14% |
| 2026-10-06 | 22% | 14% |
| 2026-10-05 | — | 12% |
| 2026-10-04 | — | — |
| 2026-10-03 | — | — |
| 2026-10-02 | — | — |
| 2026-10-01 | — | — |
| 2026-09-29 | — | — |
| 2026-09-28 | — | — |
| 2026-09-27 | 14% | — |
| 2026-09-26 | 15% | — |
| 2026-09-25 | 14% | — |
| 2026-09-24 | 14% | — |
| 2026-09-23 | — | — |
| 2026-09-22 | — | — |
| 2026-09-21 | — | — |
| 2026-09-20 | — | 4% |
| 2026-09-19 | — | 4% |
| 2026-09-18 | — | — |
| 2026-09-17 | — | — |
| 2026-09-16 | — | — |
| 2026-09-15 | — | — |
| 2026-09-14 | — | — |
| 2026-09-13 | — | 6% |
| 2026-09-12 | — | 6% |
| 2026-09-11 | — | — |
| 2026-09-10 | — | — |
| 2026-09-09 | — | — |
| 2026-09-08 | — | 8% |
| 2026-09-07 | — | 8% |
| 2026-09-06 | — | 8% |
| 2026-09-05 | — | 8% |
| 2026-09-04 | — | 8% |
| 2026-09-03 | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | — | — |
| 2026-09-01 | — | — |
| 2026-08-31 | — | — |
| 2026-08-29 | — | — |
| 2026-08-28 | — | — |
| 2026-08-27 | — | — |
| 2026-08-26 | — | — |
| 2026-08-25 | — | — |
| 2026-08-24 | — | — |
| 2026-08-23 | — | — |
| 2026-08-22 | — | — |
| 2026-08-21 | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | — | — |
| 2026-08-19 | — | — |
| 2026-08-18 | — | — |
| 2026-08-17 | — | — |
| 2026-08-16 | — | — |
| 2026-08-15 | — | — |
| 2026-08-14 | — | — |
| 2026-08-13 | — | — |
| 2026-08-12 | — | — |
| 2026-08-11 | — | — |
| 2026-08-10 | — | — |
| 2026-08-09 | — | — |
| 2026-08-08 | — | — |
| 2026-08-07 | — | — |
| 2026-08-06 | — | — |
| 2026-08-05 | — | — |
| 2026-08-04 | — | — |
| 2026-08-03 | — | — |
| 2026-08-02 | — | — |
| 2026-08-01 | — | — |
| 2026-07-19 | — | — |
| 2026-07-18 | — | — |
| 2026-07-17 | — | — |
| 2026-07-16 | — | — |
| 2026-07-14 | — | — |
| 2026-07-11 | — | — |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Who will win the 2026 WNBA Finals — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, October 9, 2026, Las Vegas Aces led at 12%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Who will win the 2026 WNBA Finals — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 8 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 14% on September 24, 2026 to 12% on October 9, 2026 — a change of 2 points.
- Who will win the 2026 WNBA Finals — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 8 tracked days the odds ranged between 10% and 22%. The final reading of 12% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the 2026 WNBA Finals” for 8 days, since July 11, 2026. As of October 9, 2026, Las Vegas Aces leads the field at 12%. The final tracked chance for Las Vegas Aces has fallen from 14% to 12%, ranging between 10% and 22% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 9, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.