Everything Else · tracked since July 13, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 8, 2026
Final tracked odds
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
What happened: The market said 0.5% on October 8, 2026. Another outcome resolved.
| Outcome | Oct 7 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Campaign to Stop Killer Robots | 0.5% | 0.5% | — |
| Greta Thunberg | 0.4% | 0.5% | — |
| Date | Campaign to Stop Killer Robots | Greta Thunberg |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-07 | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| 2026-10-06 | 0.5% | 2% |
| 2026-10-05 | — | — |
| 2026-09-29 | — | — |
| 2026-09-28 | — | — |
| 2026-09-22 | — | — |
| 2026-09-21 | — | — |
| 2026-09-20 | — | — |
| 2026-09-18 | — | — |
| 2026-07-13 | — | — |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize” for 3 days, since July 13, 2026. As of October 8, 2026, no outcome clears 10% — Campaign to Stop Killer Robots leads at 0.5%. The final tracked chance for the leading outcome has held near 0.5% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 8, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.