Final tracked odds
As of September 9, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 22%.
▲ 8 since the previous update. ▲ 8 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Everything Else · tracked since September 8, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 9, 2026
22%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 8 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 14% | 22% | ▲ 8 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | 22% |
| 2026-09-08 | 14% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, September 9, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 22%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 2 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 14% on September 8, 2026 to 22% on September 9, 2026 — a change of 8 points.
- LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 2 tracked days the odds ranged between 14% and 22%. The final reading of 22% sits at the top of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch” for 2 days, since September 8, 2026. As of September 9, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 22%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 14% to 22%, ranging between 14% and 22% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 9, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.