Erling Haaland: 2+ goals — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, July 11, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 12%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Erling Haaland: 2+ goals — did the odds go up or down?

Down. Over the 5 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 16% on July 7, 2026 to 12% on July 11, 2026 — a change of 4 points.

Erling Haaland: 2+ goals?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Erling Haaland: 2+ goals?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

World Cup · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 11, 2026

12%

Final tracked odds

As of July 11, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 12%.

Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 3 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 12% on July 11, 2026. It didn't happen.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Jul 10	Today	Move
Erling Haaland: 2+	12%	12%	—

Full history table

Date	Erling Haaland: 2+
2026-07-11	12%
2026-07-10	12%
2026-07-09	14%
2026-07-08	14%
2026-07-07	16%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Erling Haaland: 2+ goals — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, July 11, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 12%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Erling Haaland: 2+ goals — did the odds go up or down?: Down. Over the 5 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 16% on July 7, 2026 to 12% on July 11, 2026 — a change of 4 points.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Erling Haaland: 2+ goals” for 5 days, since July 7, 2026. As of July 11, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 12%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 16% to 12%, ranging between 12% and 16% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 11, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.