Today’s odds
As of August 31, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 62%.
▲ 1 since the previous update. ▲ 6 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Matteo Arnaldi wins?
Tennis · tracked since August 28, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET
62%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 30 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matteo Arnaldi | 60% | 62% | ▲ 1 |
Full history table
| Date | Matteo Arnaldi |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | 62% |
| 2026-08-30 | 60% |
| 2026-08-29 | 64% |
| 2026-08-28 | 55% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Matteo Arnaldi wins — what are the odds?
- As of August 31, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 62%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Matteo Arnaldi wins — have the odds gone up or down?
- Up. Over the 4 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 55% on August 28, 2026 to 62% on August 31, 2026 — a change of 7 points.
- Matteo Arnaldi wins — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 4 tracked days the odds ranged between 55% and 64%. The current reading of 62% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Matteo Arnaldi wins” for 4 days, since August 28, 2026. As of August 31, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 62%. The chance for a yes has risen from 55% to 62%, ranging between 55% and 64% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.