The Morning Line

What will Walmart Inc. say during their next earnings call?

Everything Else · tracked since July 25, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 17, 2026

96%

Final tracked odds

As of August 17, 2026, market-consensus odds make Marketplace / Market Place the most likely outcome at 96%.

▲ 1 since the previous update. ▲ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 96% on August 17, 2026. Marketplace / Market Place won.

How the odds have moved

Marketplace / Market PlaceGas / Gasoline / FuelSparkyTariffRollback / Roll Back
tracking begins0%25%50%75%100%Jul 24Jul 29Aug 3Aug 8Aug 17Marketplace / Market Place — Jul 24: 3%Marketplace / Market Place — Jul 25: 90%Marketplace / Market Place — Jul 26: 92%Marketplace / Market Place — Jul 27: 90%Marketplace / Market Place — Jul 28: 84%Marketplace / Market Place — Jul 29: 84%Marketplace / Market Place — Jul 30: 90%Marketplace / Market Place — Jul 31: 86%Marketplace / Market Place — Aug 1: 92%Marketplace / Market Place — Aug 2: 92%Marketplace / Market Place — Aug 3: 86%Marketplace / Market Place — Aug 4: 86%Marketplace / Market Place — Aug 5: 86%Marketplace / Market Place — Aug 6: 88%Marketplace / Market Place — Aug 7: 88%Marketplace / Market Place — Aug 8: 91%Marketplace / Market Place — Aug 9: 94%Marketplace / Market Place — Aug 10: 94%Marketplace / Market Place — Aug 11: 94%Marketplace / Market Place — Aug 16: 96%Marketplace / Market Place — Aug 17: 96%96%Gas / Gasoline / Fuel — Jul 24: 3%Gas / Gasoline / Fuel — Jul 26: 78%Gas / Gasoline / Fuel — Jul 27: 70%Gas / Gasoline / Fuel — Jul 28: 70%Gas / Gasoline / Fuel — Jul 29: 68%Gas / Gasoline / Fuel — Jul 30: 68%Gas / Gasoline / Fuel — Jul 31: 68%Gas / Gasoline / Fuel — Aug 1: 68%Gas / Gasoline / Fuel — Aug 2: 71%Gas / Gasoline / Fuel — Aug 3: 71%Gas / Gasoline / Fuel — Aug 4: 71%Gas / Gasoline / Fuel — Aug 5: 71%Gas / Gasoline / Fuel — Aug 6: 72%Gas / Gasoline / Fuel — Aug 7: 71%Gas / Gasoline / Fuel — Aug 8: 75%Gas / Gasoline / Fuel — Aug 9: 78%Gas / Gasoline / Fuel — Aug 10: 80%Gas / Gasoline / Fuel — Aug 11: 78%Gas / Gasoline / Fuel — Aug 16: 84%Gas / Gasoline / Fuel — Aug 17: 90%Sparky — Jul 24: 3%Sparky — Jul 25: 50%Sparky — Jul 26: 62%Sparky — Jul 27: 58%Sparky — Jul 28: 52%Sparky — Jul 29: 54%Sparky — Jul 30: 56%Sparky — Jul 31: 66%Sparky — Aug 1: 68%Sparky — Aug 2: 67%Sparky — Aug 3: 67%Sparky — Aug 4: 67%Sparky — Aug 5: 67%Sparky — Aug 6: 68%Sparky — Aug 7: 67%Sparky — Aug 8: 68%Sparky — Aug 9: 72%Sparky — Aug 10: 73%Sparky — Aug 11: 72%Sparky — Aug 16: 80%Sparky — Aug 17: 88%Tariff — Jul 24: 3%Tariff — Jul 25: 79%Tariff — Jul 26: 81%Tariff — Jul 27: 82%Tariff — Jul 28: 82%Tariff — Jul 29: 82%Tariff — Jul 30: 82%Tariff — Jul 31: 82%Tariff — Aug 1: 82%Tariff — Aug 2: 82%Tariff — Aug 3: 82%Tariff — Aug 4: 82%Tariff — Aug 5: 82%Tariff — Aug 6: 83%Tariff — Aug 7: 82%Tariff — Aug 8: 81%Tariff — Aug 9: 80%Tariff — Aug 10: 81%Tariff — Aug 11: 80%Tariff — Aug 16: 82%Tariff — Aug 17: 87%Rollback / Roll Back — Jul 24: 3%Rollback / Roll Back — Jul 25: 62%Rollback / Roll Back — Jul 26: 77%Rollback / Roll Back — Jul 27: 78%Rollback / Roll Back — Jul 28: 70%Rollback / Roll Back — Jul 29: 71%Rollback / Roll Back — Jul 30: 71%Rollback / Roll Back — Jul 31: 74%Rollback / Roll Back — Aug 1: 78%Rollback / Roll Back — Aug 2: 79%Rollback / Roll Back — Aug 3: 78%Rollback / Roll Back — Aug 4: 78%Rollback / Roll Back — Aug 5: 78%Rollback / Roll Back — Aug 6: 79%Rollback / Roll Back — Aug 7: 78%Rollback / Roll Back — Aug 8: 78%Rollback / Roll Back — Aug 9: 78%Rollback / Roll Back — Aug 10: 81%Rollback / Roll Back — Aug 11: 82%Rollback / Roll Back — Aug 16: 86%Rollback / Roll Back — Aug 17: 86%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeAug 16TodayMove
Marketplace / Market Place96%96%▲ 1
Gas / Gasoline / Fuel84%90%▲ 5
Sparky80%88%▲ 7
Tariff82%87%▲ 5
Rollback / Roll Back86%86%▼ 1
Automation84%86%▲ 2
Omnichannel82%86%▲ 3
Competition / Competitor58%58%▲ 1
Full history table
DateMarketplace / Market PlaceGas / Gasoline / FuelSparkyTariffRollback / Roll BackAutomationOmnichannelCompetition / Competitor
2026-08-1796%90%88%87%86%86%86%58%
2026-08-1696%84%80%82%86%84%82%58%
2026-08-1194%78%72%80%82%84%70%31%
2026-08-1094%80%73%81%81%84%70%30%
2026-08-0994%78%72%80%78%82%71%46%
2026-08-0891%75%68%81%78%82%66%26%
2026-08-0788%71%67%82%78%82%63%26%
2026-08-0688%72%68%83%79%82%67%30%
2026-08-0586%71%67%82%78%82%66%26%
2026-08-0486%71%67%82%78%82%64%26%
2026-08-0386%71%67%82%78%82%64%26%
2026-08-0292%71%67%82%79%82%62%27%
2026-08-0192%68%68%82%78%82%64%24%
2026-07-3186%68%66%82%74%82%50%26%
2026-07-3090%68%56%82%71%82%75%26%
2026-07-2984%68%54%82%71%82%74%28%
2026-07-2884%70%52%82%70%80%74%28%
2026-07-2790%70%58%82%78%80%74%29%
2026-07-2692%78%62%81%77%80%53%53%
2026-07-2590%—50%79%62%80%80%26%
2026-07-24 *3%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

What will Walmart Inc. say during their next earnings call — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, August 17, 2026, Marketplace / Market Place led at 96%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
What will Walmart Inc. say during their next earnings call — did the odds go up or down?
Up. Over the 20 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 90% on July 25, 2026 to 96% on August 17, 2026 — a change of 6 points.
What will Walmart Inc. say during their next earnings call — what were the highest and lowest odds?
Over 20 tracked days the odds ranged between 84% and 96%. The final reading of 96% sits at the top of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “What will Walmart Inc. say during their next earnings call” for 20 days, since July 25, 2026. As of August 17, 2026, Marketplace / Market Place leads the field at 96%. The final tracked chance for Marketplace / Market Place has risen from 90% to 96%, ranging between 84% and 96% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 17, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

More questions we track

The Morning Line reports market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. The numbers are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.

Every number here is free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0 — see the open data.