Today’s odds
As of August 31, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 82%.
▼ 1 since the previous update. ▼ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Carlos Alcaraz wins?
Tennis · tracked since August 27, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET
82%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 30 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 82% | 82% | ▼ 1 |
Full history table
| Date | Carlos Alcaraz |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | 82% |
| 2026-08-30 | 82% |
| 2026-08-29 | 82% |
| 2026-08-28 | 84% |
| 2026-08-27 | 86% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Carlos Alcaraz wins — what are the odds?
- As of August 31, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 82%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Carlos Alcaraz wins — have the odds gone up or down?
- Down. Over the 5 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 86% on August 27, 2026 to 82% on August 31, 2026 — a change of 4 points.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Carlos Alcaraz wins” for 5 days, since August 27, 2026. As of August 31, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 82%. The chance for a yes has fallen from 86% to 82%, ranging between 82% and 86% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.