Today’s odds
As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 8%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▲ 3 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?
Everything Else · tracked since July 8, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET
8%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 11 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8% | 8% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | 8% |
| 2026-10-11 | 8% |
| 2026-10-10 | 8% |
| 2026-10-09 | 8% |
| 2026-10-08 | 8% |
| 2026-10-07 | 8% |
| 2026-10-06 | 7% |
| 2026-10-05 | 5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 4% |
| 2026-10-01 | 4% |
| 2026-08-11 | 11% |
| 2026-08-10 | 6% |
| 2026-08-09 | 6% |
| 2026-08-08 | 4% |
| 2026-08-07 | 12% |
| 2026-08-06 | 12% |
| 2026-08-05 | 10% |
| 2026-08-04 | 10% |
| 2026-08-03 | 10% |
| 2026-08-02 | 10% |
| 2026-08-01 | 10% |
| 2026-07-21 | 14% |
| 2026-07-20 | 14% |
| 2026-07-13 | 12% |
| 2026-07-12 | 12% |
| 2026-07-08 | 14% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B — what are the odds?
- As of October 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 8%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B — have the odds gone up or down?
- Down. Over the 28 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 14% on July 8, 2026 to 8% on October 12, 2026 — a change of 6 points.
- Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 28 tracked days the odds ranged between 4% and 14%. The current reading of 8% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B” for 28 days, since July 8, 2026. As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 8%. The chance for a yes has fallen from 14% to 8%, ranging between 4% and 14% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.