Today’s odds
As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 3%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▲ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Everything Else · tracked since July 8, 2026 · last updated 5:00 AM ET
Today’s odds
Unchanged since the previous update. ▲ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
| Outcome | Oct 11 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 3% | — |
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | 3% |
| 2026-10-11 | 3% |
| 2026-10-10 | 3% |
| 2026-10-09 | 4% |
| 2026-10-08 | 2% |
| 2026-10-07 | 2% |
| 2026-10-06 | 2% |
| 2026-10-05 | 2% |
| 2026-10-04 | 3% |
| 2026-10-03 | 3% |
| 2026-10-02 | 3% |
| 2026-10-01 | 3% |
| 2026-09-29 | 3% |
| 2026-09-28 | 4% |
| 2026-09-25 | 3% |
| 2026-09-23 | 3% |
| 2026-09-21 | 4% |
| 2026-09-09 | 6% |
| 2026-09-03 | 2% |
| 2026-09-02 | 2% |
| 2026-09-01 | 3% |
| 2026-08-17 | 2% |
| 2026-08-16 | 2% |
| 2026-08-13 | 2% |
| 2026-08-12 | 2% |
| 2026-08-11 | 1.2% |
| 2026-08-10 | 1.1% |
| 2026-08-09 | 1.1% |
| 2026-08-08 | 1.1% |
| 2026-08-07 | 1.1% |
| 2026-08-06 | 1.2% |
| 2026-08-05 | 1.2% |
| 2026-08-04 | 1.2% |
| 2026-08-03 | 1.4% |
| 2026-08-02 | 2% |
| 2026-08-01 | 3% |
| 2026-07-31 | 2% |
| 2026-07-30 | 2% |
| 2026-07-29 | 3% |
| 2026-07-28 | 3% |
| 2026-07-27 | 3% |
| 2026-07-23 | 3% |
| 2026-07-22 | 3% |
| 2026-07-21 | 4% |
| 2026-07-20 | 4% |
| 2026-07-15 | 4% |
| 2026-07-13 | 4% |
| 2026-07-12 | 4% |
| 2026-07-08 | 8% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Stripe IPO before 2027” for 49 days, since July 8, 2026. As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 3%. The chance for a yes has fallen from 8% to 3%, ranging between 1.1% and 8% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.