Today’s odds
As of August 4, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 1.4%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Stripe IPO before 2027?
Everything Else · tracked since July 8, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET
1.4%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 3 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.4% | 1.4% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | 1.4% |
| 2026-08-03 | 1.4% |
| 2026-08-02 | 2% |
| 2026-08-01 | 3% |
| 2026-07-31 | 2% |
| 2026-07-30 | 2% |
| 2026-07-29 | 3% |
| 2026-07-28 | 3% |
| 2026-07-27 | 3% |
| 2026-07-23 | 3% |
| 2026-07-22 | 3% |
| 2026-07-21 | 4% |
| 2026-07-20 | 4% |
| 2026-07-15 | 4% |
| 2026-07-13 | 4% |
| 2026-07-12 | 4% |
| 2026-07-08 | 8% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Stripe IPO before 2027 — what are the odds?
- As of August 4, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 1.4%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Stripe IPO before 2027 — have the odds gone up or down?
- Down. Over the 17 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 8% on July 8, 2026 to 1.4% on August 4, 2026 — a change of 7 points.
- Stripe IPO before 2027 — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 17 tracked days the odds ranged between 1.4% and 8%. The current reading of 1.4% sits at the bottom of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Stripe IPO before 2027” for 17 days, since July 8, 2026. As of August 4, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 1.4%. The chance for a yes has fallen from 8% to 1.4%, ranging between 1.4% and 8% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.