Final tracked odds
As of October 4, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 12%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Who will be the next White House Press Secretary?
Everything Else · tracked since August 24, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 4, 2026
12%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 30 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Jennings | 13% | 12% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Scott Jennings |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 12% |
| 2026-09-30 | 13% |
| 2026-09-29 | 13% |
| 2026-09-28 | 13% |
| 2026-09-26 | — |
| 2026-09-25 | — |
| 2026-09-24 | — |
| 2026-09-23 | — |
| 2026-09-22 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | — |
| 2026-09-11 | — |
| 2026-09-09 | — |
| 2026-08-25 | 25% |
| 2026-08-24 | 25% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Who will be the next White House Press Secretary — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, October 4, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 12%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Who will be the next White House Press Secretary — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 6 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 25% on August 24, 2026 to 12% on October 4, 2026 — a change of 13 points.
- Who will be the next White House Press Secretary — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 6 tracked days the odds ranged between 12% and 25%. The final reading of 12% sits at the bottom of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will be the next White House Press Secretary” for 6 days, since August 24, 2026. As of October 4, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 12%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 25% to 12%, ranging between 12% and 25% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 4, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.