Today’s odds
As of August 7, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 68%.
▲ 2 since the previous update. ▲ 5 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since August 1, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET
68%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 6 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66% | 68% | ▲ 2 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | 68% |
| 2026-08-06 | 66% |
| 2026-08-05 | 66% |
| 2026-08-04 | 67% |
| 2026-08-03 | 68% |
| 2026-08-02 | 68% |
| 2026-08-01 | 64% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026 — what are the odds?
- As of August 7, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 68%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026 — have the odds gone up or down?
- Up. Over the 7 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 64% on August 1, 2026 to 68% on August 7, 2026 — a change of 4 points.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026” for 7 days, since August 1, 2026. As of August 7, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 68%. The chance for a yes has risen from 64% to 68%, ranging between 64% and 68% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.