Today’s odds
As of August 7, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 40%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▲ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 5:01 AM ET
40%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 6 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40% | 40% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | 40% |
| 2026-08-06 | 40% |
| 2026-08-05 | 36% |
| 2026-08-04 | 36% |
| 2026-08-03 | 36% |
| 2026-08-02 | 36% |
| 2026-08-01 | 36% |
| 2026-07-11 | 38% |
| 2026-07-10 | 38% |
| 2026-07-09 | 38% |
| 2026-07-08 | 38% |
| 2026-07-07 | 43% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026 — what are the odds?
- As of August 7, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 40%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026 — have the odds gone up or down?
- Down. Over the 12 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 43% on July 7, 2026 to 40% on August 7, 2026 — a change of 3 points.
- Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026 — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 12 tracked days the odds ranged between 36% and 43%. The current reading of 40% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026” for 12 days, since July 7, 2026. As of August 7, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 40%. The chance for a yes has fallen from 43% to 40%, ranging between 36% and 43% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.