| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 26% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 3% |
| How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? | Everything Else | Above 12 | 98% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 0.4% |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 5% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Politics | Unlikely | 30% |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 9% |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | Culture | Toss-up | 50% |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 8% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? | Everything Else | Likely | 72% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Everything Else | Likely | 80% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Everything Else | Likely | 74% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Everything Else | Toss-up | 46% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 8% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Unlikely | 8% |
| Rain in Seattle in Jul 2026? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 2% |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | Everything Else | Likely | 94% |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 1.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 0.4% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 24% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 5% |
| What will be DeMar DeRozan's next team? | Everything Else | Miami | 39% |
| What will be Jonathan Kuminga's next team? | Everything Else | Cleveland | 46% |
| What will The Progressive Corporation say during their next earnings call? | Everything Else | M&A / Acquisition | 90% |
| Who will be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Sports | Mercedes | 84% |
| Who will be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | Everything Else | Wide open | 0.1% |
| Who will be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Everything Else | Wide open | 0.1% |
| Who will be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Politics | Wide open | 2% |
| Who will be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Politics | Wide open | 0.7% |
| Who will be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Politics | Magdalena Andersson | 80% |
| Who will be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | UFC | Unlikely | 0.9% |
| Who will be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | UFC | Unlikely | 0.1% |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 2% |
| Who will win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | Everything Else | Wide open | 0.6% |
| Who will win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Politics | Tom Begich | 36% |
| Who will win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | Everything Else | Wide open | 2% |
| Who will win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Everything Else | Wide open | 0.4% |
| Who will win the 2026 Maine Senate election? | Politics | Troy Jackson | 62% |
| Who will win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Tennis | Toss-up | 52% |
| Who will win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Everything Else | Wide open | 9% |
| Who will win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | Everything Else | Wide open | 2% |
| Who will win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | Everything Else | Wide open | 0.1% |
| Who will win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? | Everything Else | Wide open | 0.4% |
| Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | Politics | Darline Graham | 74% |
| Who will win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | Everything Else | Wide open | 0.4% |
| Who will win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | Tennis | Wide open | 3% |
| Who will win the 2026 World Series? | MLB | the Los Angeles Dodgers | 30% |
| Who will win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | NBA | Wide open | 1.3% |
| Who will win the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | Unlikely | 0.1% |
| Who will win the 2027 NBA Finals? | NBA | Wide open | 0.9% |
| Who will win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | NFL | Unlikely | 2% |
| Who will win the 2027 NFL league championship? | NFL | Wide open | 7% |
| Who will win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | NFL | Wide open | 9% |
| Who will win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Everything Else | Gavin Newsom | 19% |
| Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Everything Else | J.D. Vance | 43% |
| Who will win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | the Democrats | 58% |
| Who will win the Clacton by-election? | Politics | Likely | 97% |
| Who will win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | Everything Else | Wide open | 0.8% |
| Who will win the LPL 2026 season? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 13% |
| Who will win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Politics | Unlikely | 0.4% |
| Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Everything Else | Yulia Navalnaya | 10% |
| Will Adam Walton win the Svrcina vs Walton: Round Of 32 match? | Tennis | Unlikely | 36% |
| Will Adrien Saddier win the Rocket Classic? | Golf | Unlikely | 0.1% |
| Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 0.1% |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 30% |
| Will Arnold Allen fight Alexander Volkanovski next? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 0.9% |
| Will at least 50% of scheduled passenger and cargo flights at JFK be cancelled October 21, 2026? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 3% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 0.1% |
| Will BP be acquired before 2027? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 10% |
| Will Brad Dalke win the Rocket Classic? | Golf | Unlikely | 0.4% |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 0.1% |
| Will Cameron Young win the Rocket Classic? | Golf | Unlikely | 8% |
| Will Chandler Phillips win the Rocket Classic? | Golf | Unlikely | 0.4% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 4% |
| Will Count Binface Party win the 2026 Clacton by-election? | Politics | Unlikely | 4% |
| Will Dalibor Svrcina win the Svrcina vs Walton: Round Of 32 match? | Tennis | Likely | 63% |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 0.5% |
| Will Jackson Koivun win the Rocket Classic? | Golf | Unlikely | 4% |
| Will Jackson Suber win the Rocket Classic? | Golf | Unlikely | 1.1% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 2% |
| Will Joe Highsmith win the Rocket Classic? | Golf | Unlikely | 0.1% |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 31% |
| Will Kevin Gausman strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season? | MLB | Unlikely | 0.5% |
| Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 18% |
| Will Lucas Glover win the Rocket Classic? | Golf | Unlikely | 0.4% |
| Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 0.1% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 0.5% |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Chicago Bears next? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 0.1% |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Tennessee Titans next? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 0.2% |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 3% |
| Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the Rocket Classic? | Golf | Unlikely | 2% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Everything Else | Toss-up | 48% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 0.1% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 0.7% |
| Will Reform UK win the 2026 Clacton by-election? | Politics | Likely | 96% |
| Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Unlikely | 12% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 4% |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 4% |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Unlikely | 0.1% |
| Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 15, 2026? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 2% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Economy | Unlikely | 0.1% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Economy | Unlikely | 0.1% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Economy | Unlikely | 21% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Economy | Unlikely | 0.2% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | Economy | Unlikely | 7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 10% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 24% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 6% |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? | Everything Else | Toss-up | 41% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Economy | Likely | 79% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Economy | Toss-up | 40% |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 6% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 4% |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 3% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? | Everything Else | Unlikely | 0.4% |